League OneLeague One
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Home
L
33
Full time
Wuxi Wugou

Wuxi Wugou

Away
W
Dingnan Football Youth Training Center
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Wuxi Wugou(39%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
34%
Draw
28%
Wuxi Wugou
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
9
Wuxi Wugou
100
Defence
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
6
Wuxi Wugou
66
Momentum
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
0
Wuxi Wugou
100
Danger (xG)
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
0.00
Wuxi Wugou
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Heilongjiang Lava Spring)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Wuxi Wugou)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Heilongjiang Lava Spring)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Wuxi Wugou)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring
LD
Wuxi WugouWuxi Wugou
WDW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Heilongjiang Lava Spring34%
Draw28%
Wuxi Wugou39%

Wuxi Wugou leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Heilongjiang Lava Spring head into this in League One fixture at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center in mixed form (L), while Wuxi Wugou arrive in mixed form (W). Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Wuxi Wugou over 1 games.

Tactically, Wuxi Wugou hold the edge. Their elite attack (100/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Heilongjiang Lava Spring defence (6/100), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring's attack faces a solid Wuxi Wugou backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Wuxi Wugou have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Wuxi Wugou to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3360%, Draw 2770%, Wuxi Wugou 3870%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0Draws 10 Wuxi Wugou
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
D33
Wuxi Wugou

Recent form

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

L
@ Yanbian Longding
4 Jul 2026
03
D
vs Wuxi Wugou
28 Jun 2026
33
Wuxi Wugou

Wuxi Wugou

W
@ Changchun Yatai
17 Jul 2026
51
D
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
28 Jun 2026
33
W
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?

GoalVio's model predicts Wuxi Wugou to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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