Heilongjiang Lava Springvs
Meizhou Kejia
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0-0 Meizhou Kejia
Original prediction
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.2% | 55.1% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.4% | 22.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.4% | 22.8% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00