Heilongjiang Lava Springvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.6 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40