GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heiligenstadt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heiligenstadt are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heiligenstadt hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 20.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Heiligenstadt holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heiligenstadt

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Heiligenstadt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeiligenstadtLDWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HeiligenstadtFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
66.7Attack8.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form8.3
23.7Power20.8
2.11xG1.39
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