GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/8/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heidelberg United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while South Melbourne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.7 against 54.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heidelberg United

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

12.7%

Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heidelberg UnitedLWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South MelbourneLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Heidelberg UnitedSouth Melbourne
52.8Attack52.8
54.2Defence54.2
47.2Form56.9
52.7Power54.7
1.56xG1.36
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