GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Heidelberg United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heidelberg United hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heidelberg United

Probability

74.2%

Model confidence

74.2%

Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heidelberg UnitedWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Heidelberg UnitedDandenong Thunder
52.8Attack33.3
54.2Defence26.1
47.2Form21.7
52.7Power28.5
2.73xG0.79
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