Heidelberg Unitedvs
Bentleigh Greens
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heidelberg United 2-0 Bentleigh Greens
Original prediction
Heidelberg United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.1% | 70.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.4% | 17.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 13.5% | 12.1% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Heidelberg United
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00