GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heidelberg United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Altona Magic are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Heidelberg United hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heidelberg United

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

11.5%

Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heidelberg UnitedDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Altona MagicDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Heidelberg UnitedAltona Magic
52.8Attack37.5
54.2Defence45.8
47.2Form37.5
52.7Power42.6
1.92xG0.93
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