Hegelmann Litauenvs
Panevėžys
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/7/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hegelmann Litauen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hegelmann Litauen 1-3 Panevėžys
Original prediction
Hegelmann Litauen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.1% | 36.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 27.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.4% | 36.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Hegelmann Litauen
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Hegelmann Litauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60