UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Hegelmann Litauen

Hegelmann Litauen

Home
LD
11
Full time
Paide

Paide

Away
WD
Raudondvario stadionas
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Hegelmann Litauen(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Hegelmann Litauen
41%
Draw
26%
Paide
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hegelmann Litauen
18
Paide
73
Defence
Hegelmann Litauen
27
Paide
82
Momentum
Hegelmann Litauen
17
Paide
67
Danger (xG)
Hegelmann Litauen
0.45
Paide
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hegelmann Litauen)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Paide)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Hegelmann Litauen)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Paide)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen
LDLDW
PaidePaide
WDDWL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Hegelmann Litauen41%
Draw26%
Paide33%

Hegelmann Litauen leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hegelmann Litauen head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Raudondvario stadionas in mixed form (LD), while Paide arrive in mixed form (WD). Hegelmann Litauen have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Paide over 2 games.

Tactically, Paide hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Hegelmann Litauen defence (27/100), while Hegelmann Litauen's attack faces a watertight Paide backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Hegelmann Litauen have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Paide have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Paide have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Hegelmann Litauen to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hegelmann Litauen 4072%, Draw 2617%, Paide 3310%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hegelmann Litauen 0Draws 11 Paide
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
Hegelmann Litauen
L03
Paide
9 Jul 2026
Hegelmann Litauen
D11
Paide

Recent form

Hegelmann Litauen

Hegelmann Litauen

L
@ Paide
16 Jul 2026
03
D
vs Paide
9 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Banga
28 Jun 2026
02
D
vs Suduva Marijampole
16 May 2026
22
W
vs Džiugas Telšiai
23 Oct 2025
41
Paide

Paide

W
vs Hegelmann Litauen
16 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Hegelmann Litauen
9 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Kalju Nomme
28 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Flora Tallinn
21 Jun 2026
21
L
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
17 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts Hegelmann Litauen to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more