GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 4/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hegelmann Litauen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Trakai are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann Litauen hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the A Lyga, while Hegelmann Litauen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hegelmann Litauen

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Hegelmann Litauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hegelmann LitauenLWDDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK TrakaiDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hegelmann LitauenFK Trakai
34.7Attack9.8
45.3Defence11.8
30.7Form5.9
38.9Power14.3
1.79xG0.70
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