GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Hegelmann Litauen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Džiugas Telšiai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Džiugas Telšiai hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the A Lyga, while Džiugas Telšiai holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Džiugas Telšiai

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hegelmann LitauenLLWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Džiugas TelšiaiLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas Telšiai
34.7Attack49.3
45.3Defence64.0
30.7Form57.3
38.9Power58.5
0.75xG1.56
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