Hegelmann Litauenvs
Džiugas Telšiai
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Hegelmann Litauen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Džiugas Telšiai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Džiugas Telšiai hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the A Lyga, while Džiugas Telšiai holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Džiugas Telšiai
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00