Hegelmann Litauenvs
Dainava
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/4/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hegelmann Litauen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dainava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.9 against 40.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the A Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60