1 Lyga1 Lyga
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:02
Hegelmann II

Hegelmann II

Home
W
21
Full time
Jonava

Jonava

Away
L
Raudondvario stadionas
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Jonava(30%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Hegelmann II
Win probability
Hegelmann II
42%
Draw
27%
Jonava
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hegelmann II
73
Jonava
34
Defence
Hegelmann II
66
Jonava
27
Momentum
Hegelmann II
100
Jonava
0
Danger (xG)
Hegelmann II
1.80
Jonava
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hegelmann II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Jonava)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Hegelmann II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Jonava)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
LWLL
JonavaJonava
LL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Hegelmann II42%
Draw27%
Jonava30%

Hegelmann II leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hegelmann II head into this in 1 Lyga fixture at Raudondvario stadionas in mixed form (W), while Jonava arrive in mixed form (L). Hegelmann II have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Jonava over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Hegelmann II's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Jonava defence (27/100), while Jonava's attack is up against a solid Hegelmann II backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Hegelmann II's favour.

Hegelmann II have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Jonava have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Hegelmann II have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Jonava to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Hegelmann II 4238%, Draw 2745%, Jonava 3017%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hegelmann II 1Draws 00 Jonava
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Hegelmann II
W21
Jonava

Recent form

Hegelmann II

Hegelmann II

L
@ Žalgiris II
2 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Jonava
27 Jun 2026
21
L
@ Dainava
15 May 2026
23
L
vs Transinvest 2
11 May 2026
12
Jonava

Jonava

L
@ Hegelmann II
27 Jun 2026
12
L
@ Tauras
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hegelmann II vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts Jonava to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann II vs Jonava?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Hegelmann II vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hegelmann II vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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