Heerenveenvs
Telstar
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heerenveen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heerenveen 0-0 Telstar
Original prediction
Heerenveen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.6% | 52.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 21.5% | 22.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Heerenveen
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Heerenveen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20