GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Harborough Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hednesford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harborough Town are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Harborough Town hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the National League - North, while Harborough Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Harborough Town

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

14.0%

Harborough Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hednesford TownLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Harborough TownDDDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hednesford TownHarborough Town
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power45.3
1.21xG1.34
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