GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuxi Wugou · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Wuxi Wugou, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Hebei Kungfu 2-0 Wuxi Wugou

Original prediction

Wuxi Wugou

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5435.6%25.7%-9.9 pts
Draw3.1528.7%28.0%-0.7 pts
Away2.5335.7%46.3%10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.6 pts

Projected Score

Hebei Kungfu 0–1 Wuxi Wugou

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Wuxi Wugou

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebei KungfuWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Wuxi WugouLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hebei KungfuWuxi Wugou
26.7Attack53.7
60.0Defence57.4
35.0Form42.6
43.4Power51.2
0.71xG1.20
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