GGOALVIO

China · League One · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Shenzhen Juniors, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Hebei Kungfu 0-0 Shenzhen Juniors

Original prediction

Shenzhen Juniors

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1628.5%22.2%-6.3 pts
Draw3.0929.1%28.2%-0.9 pts
Away2.1242.4%49.6%7.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.2 pts

Projected Score

Hebei Kungfu 0–1 Shenzhen Juniors

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebei KungfuWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenzhen JuniorsWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hebei KungfuShenzhen Juniors
28.8Attack57.6
63.6Defence63.6
40.9Form63.6
47.1Power61.6
0.64xG1.20
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