Hebburn Townvs
Scarborough Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebburn Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hebburn Town 0-2 Scarborough Athletic
Original prediction
Hebburn Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 38.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 24.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.8% | 37.5% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hebburn Town
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Hebburn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80