Hebburn Townvs
King's Lynn Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebburn Town · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hebburn Town 4-2 King's Lynn Town
Original prediction
Hebburn Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.8% | 49.9% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 24.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.5% | 25.5% | -15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Hebburn Town
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Hebburn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80