Hebburn Townvs
Hednesford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebburn Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hebburn Town 2-1 Hednesford Town
Original prediction
Hebburn Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.4% | 45.6% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 23.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.2% | 31.4% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hebburn Town
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Hebburn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20