GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/16/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Hebar 1918 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CSKA Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the First League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebar 1918WDLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA SofiaWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hebar 1918CSKA Sofia
33.3Attack55.6
53.3Defence66.7
32.4Form77.8
41.7Power70.7
0.81xG1.34
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