Hearts of Oakvs
Berekum Chelsea
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hearts of Oak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hearts of Oak 0-0 Berekum Chelsea, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hearts of Oak 4-0 Berekum Chelsea
Original prediction
Hearts of Oak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.0% | 42.2% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 33.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.28 | 17.1% | 24.8% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Projected Score
Hearts of Oak 0–0 Berekum Chelsea
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Hearts of Oak
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Hearts of Oak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40