Hearts of Oakvs
Bechem United
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hearts of Oak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hearts of Oak 0-0 Bechem United
Original prediction
Hearts of Oak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.2% | 52.8% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 9.26 | 9.7% | 20.6% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Hearts of Oak
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Hearts of Oak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40