Hearts of Oakvs
Basake Holy Stars
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hearts of Oak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hearts of Oak 0-0 Basake Holy Stars, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hearts of Oak 1-0 Basake Holy Stars
Original prediction
Hearts of Oak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.2% | 52.5% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.0% | 30.0% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 10.18 | 8.9% | 17.5% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Projected Score
Hearts of Oak 0–0 Basake Holy Stars
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Hearts of Oak
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Hearts of Oak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20