Heart Of Midlothianvs
ST Mirren
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heart Of Midlothian 5-0 ST Mirren
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 64.6% | 53.3% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.8% | 24.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 6.01 | 15.6% | 22.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80