Heart Of Midlothianvs
ST Johnstone
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST Johnstone
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.8% | 47.2% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.5% | 25.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.8% | 27.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20