Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

Home
W
21
Full time
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Heart Of Midlothian37%
Draw35%
Rayo Vallecano28%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Heart Of Midlothian
Win probability
Heart Of Midlothian
37%
Draw
35%
Rayo Vallecano
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Heart Of Midlothian
73
Rayo Vallecano
34
Defence
Heart Of Midlothian
66
Rayo Vallecano
27
Momentum
Heart Of Midlothian
100
Rayo Vallecano
0
Danger (xG)
Heart Of Midlothian
1.80
Rayo Vallecano
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Heart Of Midlothian)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Rayo Vallecano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Heart Of Midlothian)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Rayo Vallecano)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
WLW
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
LD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Heart Of Midlothian37%
Draw35%
Rayo Vallecano28%

Heart Of Midlothian leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Heart Of Midlothian head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Rayo Vallecano arrive in mixed form (L). Heart Of Midlothian have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Rayo Vallecano over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Heart Of Midlothian's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Rayo Vallecano defence (27/100), while Rayo Vallecano's attack is up against a solid Heart Of Midlothian backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Heart Of Midlothian's favour.

Heart Of Midlothian have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Rayo Vallecano have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Heart Of Midlothian have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Heart Of Midlothian to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Heart Of Midlothian 3676%, Draw 3500%, Rayo Vallecano 2825%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Heart Of Midlothian 1Draws 00 Rayo Vallecano
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Heart Of Midlothian
W21
Rayo Vallecano

Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

W
vs Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Celtic
16 May 2026
13
W
vs Falkirk
13 May 2026
20
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

L
@ Heart Of Midlothian
17 Jul 2026
12
D
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11 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rayo Vallecano?

GoalVio's model predicts Heart Of Midlothian to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rayo Vallecano?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Rayo Vallecano?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Heart Of Midlothian vs Rayo Vallecano?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more