GGOALVIO

Heart Of Midlothian logoHeart Of MidlothianvsKilmarnock logoKilmarnock

COMPLETED

Scotland · Premiership · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heart Of Midlothian hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Premiership, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart Of MidlothianLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KilmarnockWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Heart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
83.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
62.5Power23.7
2.12xG1.14
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