Heart Of Midlothianvs
FC Nordsjaelland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 32.3% | 28.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.4% | 27.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 42.3% | 44.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40