Heart Of Midlothianvs
Dundee
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 Dundee
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 63.6% | 50.8% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 21.2% | 25.5% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 15.2% | 23.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20