GGOALVIO

Ghana · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart of Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Heart of Lions 0-0 Swedru All Blacks, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Heart of Lions 0-0 Swedru All Blacks

Original prediction

Heart of Lions

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4462.7%41.3%-21.4 pts
Draw3.4226.3%30.2%3.9 pts
Away8.1811.0%28.5%17.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-21.4 pts

Projected Score

Heart of Lions 0–0 Swedru All Blacks

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Heart of Lions

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Heart of Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart of LionsLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Swedru All BlacksWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Heart of LionsSwedru All Blacks
16.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
0.88xG0.89
View match centre →