Heart of Lionsvs
Aduana Stars
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart of Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Heart of Lions 0-0 Aduana Stars, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Heart of Lions 0-0 Aduana Stars
Original prediction
Heart of Lions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.1% | 41.9% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 32.4% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 9.32 | 9.7% | 25.7% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Projected Score
Heart of Lions 0–0 Aduana Stars
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Heart of Lions
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Heart of Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60