Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Häcken W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Häcken W 2-0 Vittsjö W, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Häcken W 4-0 Vittsjö W
Original prediction
Häcken W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.8% | 76.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.14 | 12.7% | 15.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 13.85 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Häcken W 2–0 Vittsjö W
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Häcken W
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Häcken W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Häcken WWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vittsjö WWLDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Häcken WVittsjö W
94.1Attack43.1
74.5Defence62.7
90.2Form49.0
84.6Power52.6
2.21xG0.60