Häcken Wvs
Malmö FF W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Häcken W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Häcken W 1-1 Malmö FF W
Original prediction
Häcken W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.3% | 53.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.2% | 23.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.5% | 22.4% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Häcken W
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Häcken W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60