GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/30/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventus W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Häcken W 0-3 Juventus W

Original prediction

Juventus W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3239.0%31.5%-7.5 pts
Draw3.4726.2%26.1%-0.1 pts
Away2.6034.8%42.4%7.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

Juventus W

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Juventus W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Häcken WWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Juventus WWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Häcken WJuventus W
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power67.2
1.36xG2.06
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