GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Häcken W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Häcken W 3-0 Hammarby W

Original prediction

Häcken W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0245.0%45.3%0.3 pts
Draw3.4326.5%24.2%-2.3 pts
Away3.1928.5%30.4%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Häcken W

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Häcken W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Häcken WWLWLW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Hammarby WWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Häcken WHammarby W
100.0Attack81.0
79.4Defence84.1
92.1Form84.1
87.0Power81.6
1.52xG1.22
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