GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jitex W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Häcken II W 2-2 Jitex W

Original prediction

Jitex W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1221.9%25.8%3.9 pts
Draw3.8123.6%24.1%0.4 pts
Away1.6554.5%50.1%-4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Jitex W

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Jitex W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Häcken II WLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jitex WLDLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Häcken II WJitex W
41.0Attack66.7
1.3Defence0.0
23.1Form0.0
25.6Power23.7
1.61xG2.76
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