Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while AB are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/2.00