Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while 07 Vestur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Løgmanssteypid, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20