Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB Koge are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lyngby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyngby hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyngby holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20