Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HB Koge 5-2 Hobro
Original prediction
Hobro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.6% | 26.7% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.4% | 25.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.0% | 47.8% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Hobro
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HB KogeDDDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HobroDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HB KogeHobro
25.0Attack41.7
37.5Defence54.2
16.7Form54.2
30.0Power53.1
0.86xG1.52