Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hillerød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HB Koge 1-1 Hillerød
Original prediction
Hillerød
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.4% | 31.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 25.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.6% | 42.9% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Hillerød
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Hillerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HB KogeDDLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HillerødWWLDL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HB KogeHillerød
16.7Attack55.6
33.3Defence33.3
11.1Form22.2
24.7Power38.9
1.32xG1.80