GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AB Copenhagen · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

HB Koge 2-3 AB Copenhagen

Original prediction

AB Copenhagen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3040.0%30.6%-9.3 pts
Draw3.6225.4%27.3%1.9 pts
Away2.6734.6%42.0%7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

AB Copenhagen

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

AB Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HB KogeWWDDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AB CopenhagenWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HB KogeAB Copenhagen
43.3Attack43.3
43.3Defence66.7
33.3Form40.0
41.4Power50.1
0.91xG1.38
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