Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while TB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
10.8%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60