Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
HB II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suduroy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
9.3%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20