Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while NSÍ II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HB II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the 1. Deild, while HB II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB II
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
HB II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40