Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KÍ II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
HB II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while KÍ II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KÍ II hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the 1. Deild, while KÍ II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KÍ II
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
KÍ II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50