Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
9%
LowconfidenceHB II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hoyvík are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and hB II hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Deild, favouring HB II with 8.8% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB II
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
8.8%
HB II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HB IILLDLW
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HoyvíkWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HB IIHoyvík
35.2Attack59.3
48.1Defence5.6
31.5Form35.2
39.8Power35.4
2.12xG1.73