Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hoyvík are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HB II hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the 1. Deild, while HB II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB II
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
HB II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20